Philippine trade potential: an analysis using dynamic gravity approach / by Catherine N. Bautista and Cencen F. Satuna.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextLanguage: English Publication details: Indang, Cavite : Cavite State University- Main Campus, 2019.Description: xiv, 97 pages : illustrations ; 30 cmContent type:
  • text
Media type:
  • unmediated
Carrier type:
  • volume
Subject(s): DDC classification:
  • 338.4  B32 2019
Online resources: Production credits:
  • College of Economics, Management and Development Studies (CEMDS), Department of Economics
Abstract: BAUTISTA, CATHERINE N., SATUNA, CENCEN F., Philippine Trade Potential: An Analysis Using Dynamic Gravity Approach. Undergraduate Thesis. Bachelor of Science in Economics. Cavite State University, Indang, Cavite. June 2019. Adviser: Ms. Jenny Beb F. Ebo. The Philippine trade potential to its top fifteen partner countries namely Japan, United States of America (USA), Hong Kong, China, South Korea, Singapore, Thailand, Germany, Netherlands, Malaysia, Viet Nam, France, Indonesia, Malta, and United Arab Emirates (UAE) was analyzed using the dynamic gravity model of trade. The model explained the effect of exogenous variables such as gross domestic product, distance, population, exchange rate, exports, imports and annual trade. With the use of panel corrected standard errors (PCSE) regression analysis, results showed that the exogenous variables yielded significant effects to exports and annual trade. However, in the case of imports, only the population of Philippines and the partner country, gross domestic product of partner countries, and distance had significant effects. Furthermore, the negative relationship of distance to exports, imports, and annual trade confirmed the assumption of Gravity Model that the closer the distance of the economy, the more it trades. In terms of trade potential, Philippines had the highest potential to exports with France and imports with Malta. On the other hand, trade was overtraded to Japan, Hongkong, China, Netherlands and Indonesia because of over exports. Likewise, results revealed that there was trade divergence in Japan, Hong Kong, China, Singapore, Thailand, Germany, Netherlands, Indonesia, and UAE because of over imports.
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Theses / Manuscripts Theses / Manuscripts Ladislao N. Diwa Memorial Library Theses Section Non-fiction 338.4 B32 2019 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Link to resource Room use only T-8494 00079784

Thesis (Bachelor of Science in Economics) Cavite State University.

Includes bibliographical references.

College of Economics, Management and Development Studies (CEMDS), Department of Economics

BAUTISTA, CATHERINE N., SATUNA, CENCEN F., Philippine Trade Potential: An Analysis Using Dynamic Gravity Approach. Undergraduate Thesis. Bachelor of Science in Economics. Cavite State University, Indang, Cavite. June 2019. Adviser: Ms. Jenny Beb F. Ebo.

The Philippine trade potential to its top fifteen partner countries namely Japan, United States of America (USA), Hong Kong, China, South Korea, Singapore, Thailand, Germany, Netherlands, Malaysia, Viet Nam, France, Indonesia, Malta, and
United Arab Emirates (UAE) was analyzed using the dynamic gravity model of trade. The model explained the effect of exogenous variables such as gross domestic product, distance, population, exchange rate, exports, imports and annual trade.

With the use of panel corrected standard errors (PCSE) regression analysis, results showed that the exogenous variables yielded significant effects to exports and annual trade. However, in the case of imports, only the population of Philippines and the partner country, gross domestic product of partner countries, and distance had significant effects. Furthermore, the negative relationship of distance to exports, imports, and annual trade confirmed the assumption of Gravity Model that the closer the distance of the economy, the more it trades.

In terms of trade potential, Philippines had the highest potential to exports with France and imports with Malta. On the other hand, trade was overtraded to Japan, Hongkong, China, Netherlands and Indonesia because of over exports. Likewise, results revealed that there was trade divergence in Japan, Hong Kong, China, Singapore, Thailand, Germany, Netherlands, Indonesia, and UAE because of over imports.

Submitted to the University Library 08/28/2019 T-8494

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