Talavera, Nimfa H <br/><br/>
Analysis unemployment in the Philippines, year 2002-2012 / 
by Nimpa H. Talavera. 
 - Indang, Cavite:  Cavite State University- Main Campus,  2013. 
 - xi, 39 pages :  illustrations ;  28 cm. 
<br/><br/> Theses (BS Applied Mathematics-Statistics) Cavite State University. 
<br/><br/>Includes bibliographical references. 
<br/><br/>College of Arts and Sciences (CAS)  College of Arts and Sciences (CAS) 
<br/><br/> TALAVERA, NIMFA HERMOSO, Analysis of Unemployment Rate in the Philippines, Year 2002-2012. Bachelor of Science in Applied Mathematics with Specialization in Statistics. Cavite State University, Indang, Cavite. April 2013, Adviser: Mr. Paul Vincent E. Botin. <br/>The study was conducted in the Department of Physical Science, College of Arts and Sciences, Cavite State University, (CvSU) Don Severino Delas Alas Campus from December 2012 to March 2013 to: formulate an appropriate model for the 10-year monthly data of unemployment rate in the Philippines; test the accuracy of the formulated model; determine the cyclical and seasonal patterns of unemployment rate in the Philippines; and forecast the unemployment rate in the Philippines for year 2013. The data used in the study were secondary type of data and were obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics website (www.bls.gov.ph). <br/>For the unemployment rate in the Philippines, three alternative models were formulated. Testing for accuracy of each model was performed under the eight statistical tests. The cyclical and seasonal patterns were also determined. And from the best formulated model, the forecasted value of unemployment rate for 2013 was determined. Forecasted value was the computed rate based from the best formulated model. <br/>From the three alternative models formulated, it was found that the Cubic model was the best based from the eight statistical tests applied. For cyclical pattern, it is concluded that there is no cyclical pattern to be defined because of the irregular random variations which passed through the 100 percent line. Seasonal pattern is concluded to be as below the annual average for the first and second quarters; and for the third and fourth quarters, the values were above the annual average. According to the best model that was formulated, the values of unemployment rate in the Philippines were obtained and it was found that the entire values of unemployment rate in the Philippines were approximately decreasing.<br/> 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>Unemployment--Statistics.
<br/><br/><label>Dewey Class. No.: </label>362.86  / T14 2013