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Time series analysis of forested land areas in the Philippines from 1976-2013 / by Mark Emmanuel S. Llamado.

By:

Llamado, Mark Emmanuel S [author]

Contributor(s):

Cinto, Antonio V [adviser]

Material type: Text

TextLanguage: English Publication details: Indang, Cavite : 2016. Cavite State University- Main Campus,Description: xii, 51 pages : illustrations ; 28 cmContent type:

text

Media type:

unmediated

Carrier type:

volume

Subject(s):

DDC classification:

577.3 L77 2016

Online resources:

Click here to view thesis abstract and table of contents

Production credits:

College of Arts and Science (CAS)

Abstract: LLAMADO, EMMANUEL SALAZAR Time Series Analysis of Forested Land Area in the Philippines from 1976-2013- Undergraduate Thesis- Bachelor of Science in Applied Mathematics with specialization in Statistics- Cavite State University, Indang, Cavite- April 2016- Adviser: Mr.- Antonio V. Cinto The study conducted to formulate appropriate forecasting model for forested land areas- Specifically, it aimed to: (1.) convey models for the Philippine Forested Areas: (2) compare formulated models; (3) test the accuracy of the formulated model; and (4) forecast the forested land area of the Philippine’s for the next five years- The data used in the study was acquired from Philippine Statistics Authority and Department of Environment and Natural Resources- Graphical and descriptive statistics was also used to describe the data- Augmented Dickey-Fuller test to test the stationarity of the time series data, autocorrelation function and partial autocorrelation function was used- Since the time series data did not show stationarity, ARIMA model was used as alternative models. The assumptions; zero-mean, constant variance, independence and normality were also tested in this study. Models were formulated using time series analysis- The best model for the average forested land area of the Philippines was selected considering several criteria- Forecasted values for the forested land area in the Philippines for the year 2014-20 / 8 were computed using the formulated model equations- The estimated model for the forested land area mean that is why an error term was added the model for the error ten Years A3 Et = —1.845A3Et — 1.350 A3Et_1 — 0.419A3Et The forecasted forested land area in hectares for 2014-2018 were 14,211,418.26. 14,212 736.62; The Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) for Philippine forested land area v.-as reliable with the value 1.273-

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Holdings ( 1 )
Title notes ( 5 )

Holdings
Item type	Current library	Collection	Call number	Materials specified	URL	Status	Notes	Date due	Barcode
Theses / Manuscripts	Ladislao N. Diwa Memorial Library Theses Section	Non-fiction	577.3 L77 2016 (Browse shelf(Opens below))		Link to resource	Room use only	T-6307		00011427

Thesis (BS Applied Mathematics) Cavite State University

Includes bibliographical references.

College of Arts and Science (CAS)

LLAMADO, EMMANUEL SALAZAR Time Series Analysis of Forested
Land Area in the Philippines from 1976-2013- Undergraduate Thesis- Bachelor of
Science in Applied Mathematics with specialization in Statistics- Cavite State University, Indang, Cavite- April 2016- Adviser: Mr.- Antonio V. Cinto
The study conducted to formulate appropriate forecasting model for forested land areas- Specifically, it aimed to: (1.) convey models for the Philippine Forested Areas:
(2) compare formulated models; (3) test the accuracy of the formulated model; and (4) forecast the forested land area of the Philippine’s for the next five years-
The data used in the study was acquired from Philippine Statistics Authority and
Department of Environment and Natural Resources-
Graphical and descriptive statistics was also used to describe the data- Augmented
Dickey-Fuller test to test the stationarity of the time series data, autocorrelation function and partial autocorrelation function was used- Since the time series data did not show stationarity, ARIMA model was used as alternative models. The assumptions; zero-mean, constant variance, independence and normality were also tested in this study.
Models were formulated using time series analysis- The best model for the average forested land area of the Philippines was selected considering several criteria- Forecasted values for the forested land area in the Philippines for the year 2014-20 / 8 were computed using the formulated model equations- The estimated model for the forested land area

mean that is why an error term was added the model for the error ten Years
A3 Et = —1.845A3Et — 1.350 A3Et_1 — 0.419A3Et
The forecasted forested land area in hectares for 2014-2018 were 14,211,418.26.
14,212 736.62;
The Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) for Philippine forested land area v.-as reliable with the value 1.273-

Submitted copy to the University Library. 05/29/2017 T-6307