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040 _cCvSU Main Campus Library
041 0 _aeng
082 0 4 _a362.86
_bT14 2013
100 0 _aTalavera, Nimfa H
_eauthor
_916436
245 1 0 _aAnalysis unemployment in the Philippines, year 2002-2012 /
_cby Nimpa H. Talavera.
260 0 _aIndang, Cavite:
_bCavite State University- Main Campus,
_c2013.
300 _axi, 39 pages :
_billustrations ;
_c28 cm.
336 _2rdacontent
_atext
337 _2rdamedia
_aunmediated
338 _2rdacarrier
_avolume
500 _aTheses (BS Applied Mathematics-Statistics) Cavite State University.
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references.
508 _aCollege of Arts and Sciences (CAS)
520 3 _aTALAVERA, NIMFA HERMOSO, Analysis of Unemployment Rate in the Philippines, Year 2002-2012. Bachelor of Science in Applied Mathematics with Specialization in Statistics. Cavite State University, Indang, Cavite. April 2013, Adviser: Mr. Paul Vincent E. Botin. The study was conducted in the Department of Physical Science, College of Arts and Sciences, Cavite State University, (CvSU) Don Severino Delas Alas Campus from December 2012 to March 2013 to: formulate an appropriate model for the 10-year monthly data of unemployment rate in the Philippines; test the accuracy of the formulated model; determine the cyclical and seasonal patterns of unemployment rate in the Philippines; and forecast the unemployment rate in the Philippines for year 2013. The data used in the study were secondary type of data and were obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics website (www.bls.gov.ph). For the unemployment rate in the Philippines, three alternative models were formulated. Testing for accuracy of each model was performed under the eight statistical tests. The cyclical and seasonal patterns were also determined. And from the best formulated model, the forecasted value of unemployment rate for 2013 was determined. Forecasted value was the computed rate based from the best formulated model. From the three alternative models formulated, it was found that the Cubic model was the best based from the eight statistical tests applied. For cyclical pattern, it is concluded that there is no cyclical pattern to be defined because of the irregular random variations which passed through the 100 percent line. Seasonal pattern is concluded to be as below the annual average for the first and second quarters; and for the third and fourth quarters, the values were above the annual average. According to the best model that was formulated, the values of unemployment rate in the Philippines were obtained and it was found that the entire values of unemployment rate in the Philippines were approximately decreasing.
541 _cSubmitted to the University Library
_d 05/06/2013
_eT-4895
650 0 _aUnemployment
_xStatistics.
_99021
690 _92526
_aBachelor of Science in Applied Mathematics
_xStatistics
700 _915029
_aBotin, Paul Vincent E.
_eadviser
856 _uhttp://library.cvsu.edu.ph/cgi-bin/koha/opac-retrieve-file.pl?id=939782509ef873c63ebdd10ea31ff3f5
_yClick here to view thesis abstract and table of contents
942 _2ddc
_cMAN
999 _c104
_d104