Multiregressor time series analysis of the employment rate in Philippines from 1960 to 2013 / by Carl Angelo A. Catchola.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextLanguage: English Publication details: Indang, Cavite : 2016. Cavite State University- Main Campus,Description: xii, 67 pages : illustrations ; 28 cmContent type:
  • text
Media type:
  • unmediated
Carrier type:
  • volume
Subject(s): DDC classification:
  • 331.1  C28 2016
Online resources: Production credits:
  • College of Arts and Science (CAS)
Abstract: CATCHOLA, CARL ANGELO A. Multiregressor Time Series Analysis of the Employment Rate in the Philippines from 1960 to 2013. Undergraduate Thesis. Bachelor of Science in Applied Mathematics with specialization in Statistics. Cavite State University, Indang, Cavite. April 2016, Adviser: Mr. Michael E. Sta. Brigida. This study was conducted to interpolate missing values from the population data from the year 1960 to year 2013; determine the factors that affect the employment rate in the Philippines; formulate a multiregressor model that can be used to predict future values of the employment rate; and forecast the employment rate in the Philippines from 2014 to 2024. The study used secondary data namely the employment rate, labor force, population, and per capita real Gross Domestic Product (CGDP), which were gathered from the Philippines Statistics Authority. The multi-autoregressive model was formulated using multiregressor time series analysis. The best model for the forecasting of employment rate was selected based on different model criteria. Forecasted values for the employment rate in the Philippines were computed using the formulated model. The CGDP that included in the model was also formulated a model that is needed to forecast further values of the employment rate. The forecasted values for ten years of employment rate showed that in the short run, the employment rate can rise given the current strategies executed by the labor sector of the government, however, in the long run, the employment rate may gradually fall, implying that revisions or improvement of the strategic plans of the government should be imposed to maintain or achieve a higher employment rate.
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Theses / Manuscripts Theses / Manuscripts Ladislao N. Diwa Memorial Library Theses Section Non-fiction 331.1 C28 2016 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Link to resource Room use only T-6306 00011443

Thesis (BS Applied Mathematics) Cavite State University

Includes bibliographical references.

College of Arts and Science (CAS)

CATCHOLA, CARL ANGELO A. Multiregressor Time Series Analysis of the Employment Rate in the Philippines from 1960 to 2013. Undergraduate Thesis. Bachelor of Science in Applied Mathematics with specialization in Statistics. Cavite State University, Indang, Cavite. April 2016, Adviser: Mr. Michael E. Sta. Brigida.
This study was conducted to interpolate missing values from the population data from the year 1960 to year 2013; determine the factors that affect the employment rate in the Philippines; formulate a multiregressor model that can be used to predict future values of the employment rate; and forecast the employment rate in the Philippines from 2014 to 2024.
The study used secondary data namely the employment rate, labor force, population, and per capita real Gross Domestic Product (CGDP), which were gathered from the Philippines Statistics Authority.
The multi-autoregressive model was formulated using multiregressor time series analysis. The best model for the forecasting of employment rate was selected based on different model criteria. Forecasted values for the employment rate in the Philippines were computed using the formulated model. The CGDP that included in the model was also formulated a model that is needed to forecast further values of the employment rate.
The forecasted values for ten years of employment rate showed that in the short run, the employment rate can rise given the current strategies executed by the labor sector of the government, however, in the long run, the employment rate may gradually fall, implying that revisions or improvement of the strategic plans of the government should be imposed to maintain or achieve a higher employment rate.

Submitted copy to the University Library. 05/29/2017 T-6306

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