Normal view MARC view ISBD view

Time series analysis of the corn production in the Philippines / by Jaina O. Motas.

By:

Motas, Jaina O [author]

Contributor(s):

Mojica, Analyn A [adviser]

Material type: Text

TextLanguage: English Publication details: Indang, Cavite : 2016. Cavite State University- Main Campus,Description: xiv, 64 pages : 28 cm. illustrations ; Content type:

text

Media type:

unmediated

Carrier type:

volume

Subject(s):

DDC classification:

633.1 M85 2016

Online resources:

Click here to view thesis abstract and table of contents

Production credits:

College of Arts and Science (CAS)

Abstract: MOTAS, JAINA ONA. Time Series Analysis of the Corn Production in the Philippines Since 1980 — 2015, Undergraduate Thesis. Bachelor of Science in Applied Mathematics (Major in Statistics). Cavite State University, Indang, Cavite, December 2016. Adviser: Prof. Analyn A. Mojica. The study was conducted to formulate an appropriate forecasting model for the corn production; test the accuracy of the formulated model; and provide the forecast of the Philippines' corn production for the next five years. The data used in the study were secondary data of the corn production from 1980 — 2015 in the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA). Models were selected using the time series analysis. The best models for the corn production were selected considering several criteria: R—squared, Adjusted R—squared, Akaike Information Criterion, Schwarz Information Criterion, Mean Absolute Percentage Error, Mean Absolute Error, and Root Mean Square Error. The selected best model was the ARIMA (3, 2, 3), and the forecasted values for the corn production were computed using the formulated model equations. The estimated model for the corn production was: A = -0.591 A2 Yt-l - 0.522 A2 Yt-2 - 0.786 A2 Yt-3 - 0.695 A2 Yt-4 - 0.170 - 0.445 A2 Y 6 and the forecasted values were 35279.029 million metric tons, 30536.91 million metric tons, 28347.10 million metric tons, 28713.01 million metric tons, 32300.91 in metric tons respectively.

Average rating: 0.0 (0 votes)

Holdings ( 1 )
Title notes ( 5 )

Holdings
Item type	Current library	Collection	Call number	Materials specified	URL	Status	Notes	Date due	Barcode
Theses / Manuscripts	Ladislao N. Diwa Memorial Library Theses Section	Non-fiction	633.1 M85 2016 (Browse shelf(Opens below))		Link to resource	Room use only	T-6692		00011255

Thesis (BS Applied Mathematics) Cavite State University

Includes bibliographical references.

College of Arts and Science (CAS)

MOTAS, JAINA ONA. Time Series Analysis of the Corn Production in the Philippines Since 1980 — 2015, Undergraduate Thesis. Bachelor of Science in Applied Mathematics (Major in Statistics). Cavite State University, Indang, Cavite, December 2016. Adviser: Prof. Analyn A. Mojica.
The study was conducted to formulate an appropriate forecasting model for the corn production; test the accuracy of the formulated model; and provide the forecast of the Philippines' corn production for the next five years.
The data used in the study were secondary data of the corn production from 1980 — 2015 in the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA).
Models were selected using the time series analysis. The best models for the corn production were selected considering several criteria: R—squared, Adjusted R—squared,
Akaike Information Criterion, Schwarz Information Criterion, Mean Absolute Percentage
Error, Mean Absolute Error, and Root Mean Square Error. The selected best model was the ARIMA (3, 2, 3), and the forecasted values for the corn production were computed using the formulated model equations.
The estimated model for the corn production was:
A = -0.591 A2 Yt-l - 0.522 A2 Yt-2 - 0.786 A2 Yt-3 - 0.695 A2 Yt-4
- 0.170 - 0.445 A2 Y 6
and the forecasted values were 35279.029 million metric tons, 30536.91 million metric tons, 28347.10 million metric tons, 28713.01 million metric tons, 32300.91 in metric tons respectively.

Submitted copy to the University Library. 05/29/2017 T-6692