MARC details
| 000 -LEADER |
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| fixed length control field |
03173nam a2200313 a 4500 |
| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER |
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| control field |
OSt |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION |
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| control field |
20230216135304.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
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| fixed length control field |
070528s19uu xx 00 eng d |
| 040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE |
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| Transcribing agency |
CvSU Main Campus Library |
| 041 0# - LANGUAGE CODE |
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| Language code of text/sound track or separate title |
eng |
| 082 04 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER |
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| Classification number |
633.18 |
| Item number |
Es8 2002 |
| 100 #0 - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
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| Personal name |
Estrada, Andrea D. |
| Relator term |
author |
| 9 (RLIN) |
33072 |
| 245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT |
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| Title |
Time series analysis of Philippine rice production / |
| Statement of responsibility, etc. |
Andrea D. Estrada. |
| 260 0# - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. |
|---|
| Place of publication, distribution, etc. |
Indang, Cavite : |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. |
2002. |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc. |
Cavite State University- Main Campus, |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION |
|---|
| Extent |
xii, 43 pages : |
| Other physical details |
illustrations ; |
| Dimensions |
28 cm. |
| 336 ## - CONTENT TYPE |
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| Source |
rdacontent |
| Content type term |
text |
| 337 ## - MEDIA TYPE |
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| Source |
rdamedia |
| Media type term |
unmediated |
| 338 ## - CARRIER TYPE |
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| Source |
rdacarrier |
| Carrier type term |
volume |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE |
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| General note |
Special Problem (BS Applied Mathematics - - Statistics) Cavite State University. |
| 504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE |
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| Bibliography, etc. note |
Includes bibliographical references. |
| 508 ## - CREATION/PRODUCTION CREDITS NOTE |
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| College and Department |
College of Arts and Science (CAS) |
| 520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC. |
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| Summary, etc. |
ESTRADA, ANDREA DIONISIO. Time Series Analysis of Philippine Rice Production". Bachelor of Science in Applied Mathematics. Cavite State University, Indang, Cavite, April 2002. Adviser: Mr. Antonio V. Cinto.<br/>The study entitled "Time Series Analysis of Philippine Rice Production" was conducted at the Physical Sciences Department, College of Arts and Sciences, Cavite State University, Indang, Cavite, from January to February 2002 to: l) determine a model that could be used in forecasting the rice production of the Philippines; 2) provide a forecast of the Philippine rice production from 2002 to 2005; and 3) test the accuracy of the formulated model.<br/>The yearly series data of the country's rice production was obtained from the Provincial Agricultural Office in Trece Martires City, Cavite and Bureau of Agricultural Statistics of the Department of Agriculture in Quezon City.<br/>Three models were formulated in this study. To select the best model that will predict the Philippine rice production from 2002 to 2005, the following criteria were considered: R-squared; adjusted R-squared; standard error of regression; sum of squared residual; Durbin-Watson statistic; Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Shwarz Bayesian Criterion (SBC).<br/>Forecasted values from the year 2002 to 2005 were computed using the formulated model ARMA (1, 2) with the equation:<br/>yt + 0.60yt-5 +0.73et-l -0.54et-4 +<br/>The forecasted rice production for the year 2002 to 2005 followed an inconsistent trend. In the end of the year 2002, the rice production was approximated to be 7,981,579<br/>metric tons; metric tons in 2003; 7,577,385 metric tons in 2004; and 7,377,784 metric tons in year 2005.<br/>The forecast accuracy was also tested using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) method. The MAPE results showed that there was a small standard error indicating that the forecasted values were reliable.<br/> |
| 541 ## - IMMEDIATE SOURCE OF ACQUISITION NOTE |
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| Method of acquisition |
Submitted to the University Library |
| Date of acquisition |
05/29/2002 |
| Accession number |
SP-2348 |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
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| Topical term or geographic name entry element |
Rice production |
| 9 (RLIN) |
25813 |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) |
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| 9 (RLIN) |
2526 |
| Course or Program |
Bachelor of Science in Applied Mathematics |
| Major |
Statistics |
| 700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
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| Personal name |
Cinto, Antonio V. |
| 9 (RLIN) |
8776 |
| Relator term |
adviser |
| 856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS |
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| Port |
80 |
| Link text |
Click here to view thesis abstract and table of contents |
| Electronic File |
<a href="http://library.cvsu.edu.ph/cgi-bin/koha/opac-retrieve-file.pl?id=293b99b682101551088f7f38525ec196">http://library.cvsu.edu.ph/cgi-bin/koha/opac-retrieve-file.pl?id=293b99b682101551088f7f38525ec196</a> |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
|---|
| Source of classification or shelving scheme |
Dewey Decimal Classification |
| Koha item type |
Theses / Manuscripts |
